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Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 4
Updated Jul. 4, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Spencer Torkelson and the Detroit Tigers are set to face off against Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field in the opening game of a three-game series this Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Bookmakers have marked the Tigers as -126 moneyline favorites, while the underdog Guardians are listed at +106 on the moneyline. Detroit is also favored on the run line at -1.5. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective about the Tigers-Guardians matchup, including the run line, moneyline, and total, along with expert picks. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.
Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds
When: Friday, July 4, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to watch on TV: CLEG and FDSDET
Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Run Line
Tigers -126 | Guardians +106 | Total 8 | Run Line: Tigers -1.5 (+136), Guardians +1.5 (-164)
Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction
Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Tigers 52%, Guardians 48%
Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Insights
This season, the Tigers have a winning record of 40 out of 58 games as favorites, translating to a 69% success rate. When favored by -126 or higher, Detroit has a 33-14 record, which aligns with a 70.2% win rate this season. The moneyline for this match suggests a 55.8% chance of victory for the Tigers.
On the other hand, the Guardians have been underdogs in 52 games this year, winning 21 of them for a rate of 40.4%. Cleveland has secured a win in 13 out of 36 games when listed as at least +106 on the moneyline. The implied chance of the Guardians winning this matchup stands at 48.5%.
Tigers Recent Betting Performance
The Tigers have gone 6-3 as moneyline favorites in their last 10 games. Throughout their past 10 outings, each game featured a set total and six of them went over. Against the spread, they have a 6-4-0 record in their last 10 matches.
Tigers Recent Stats
- Record: 6-4
- Runs Per Game: 6.4
- Home Runs: 17
- ERA: 3.99
- K/9: 8.8
Tigers Player Insights
Riley Greene leads the Tigers with a .292 batting average, totaling 21 home runs and 69 RBIs, which ranks him ninth and fifth in the MLB in those categories, respectively. Gleyber Torres has contributed with 13 doubles, nine home runs, and 45 walks while maintaining a nice ph 777 login.282 average. He currently holds a two-game hitting streak and is hitting bk8 thailand.250 over his last five games.
Spencer Torkelson has also been impressive with 19 doubles, 19 home runs, and a .234 batting average, boasting a seven-game hitting streak. Zach McKinstry complements the lineup with a .290 average, 12 doubles, and eight triples. phwin.vip
Tigers Team Props
| Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wenceel Perez | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+125) | – | 0.5 (+180) |
| Spencer Torkelson | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+135) | – | 0.5 (+175) |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+120) | – | 0.5 (+200) |
| Riley Greene | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (-105) | – | 0.5 (+135) |
| Colt Keith | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+105) | – | 0.5 (+195) |
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
The Guardians have struggled as underdogs, losing all six contests in which they played that role over their last 10 games. They have hit the over just four times in their last 10 games overall. Cleveland has only secured three wins against the spread in that span.
Guardians Recent Stats
- Record: 2-8
- Runs Per Game: 2.6
- Home Runs: 9
- ERA: 4.84
- K/9: 7.7
Guardians Player Insights
Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs with 13 and RBIs with 38 while holding the highest batting average on the team at .297. Steven Kwan adds depth with 18 doubles, six home runs, and a .295 batting average. Carlos Santana is also a valuable contributor with 38 RBIs.
Guardians Team Props
| Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 0. 90 jilli5 (-260) | 1.5 (+125) | – | 0.5 (+245) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+100) | – | 0.5 (+160) |
| Slade Cecconi | – | – | – | – |
| Brayan Rocchio | – | – | – | – |
| Austin Hedges | – | – | – | – |
What are your thoughts on the upcoming game between the Tigers and Guardians? phcity slot casino Will the Tigers continue their winning ways, or can the Guardians pull off an upset?
